Market consensus points to April for the BOJ's next rate hike. From the current 0.75% policy rate toward a 1.5% terminal rate, we analyze the tightening path, the Iran crisis oil shock creating a stagflation dilemma, and key points for the March 18-19 policy meeting.
With the Strait of Hormuz shut in all but name, the IEA's 32 members unanimously approved a record 400-million-barrel coordinated release on March 11, 2026. Japan carried 80 million of it and began draining national reserves on March 26. Where those 254 days went, and what July's re-escalation means.
In just 15 minutes at FIN/SUM 2026, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda sent a landmark signal: Japan is ready to connect central bank money to the blockchain economy. We unpack what this means for digital finance, how it compares to the Fed and ECB, and why Japan may be charting its own path in the global CBDC race.
The Bank of Japan held its policy rate at 0.75% at its March 18-19, 2026 meeting, as oil prices and yen weakness from the late-February Iran conflict weighed on the case for a hike. We cover Deputy Governor Himino and hawk Takata, the reflationist board nominees, the rate gap with the Fed and ECB, the yen carry trade, and the road to the June hike to 1.0%.
The Nikkei reports the Bank of Japan is considering tokenizing central bank reserves on blockchain. While not officially confirmed, realization could enable 24/7 wholesale settlement and mega-bank stablecoin integration. We analyze the potential impact, challenges, and how Japan compares to the Fed and ECB.
BOJ's most hawkish board member Hajime Takada urged further rate hikes in a Kyoto speech, using a "gear shift" metaphor to describe Japan's monetary policy normalization. With the 2% inflation target nearly achieved and wage growth accelerating for a fourth year, we analyze what this means for global markets, the yen carry trade, and how Japan's path diverges from the Fed and ECB.
Once considered twin safe-haven currencies, the yen and Swiss franc have diverged dramatically. Explore the structural factors behind the yen's historic weakness—Japan's massive government debt, expanding digital deficit, and shifting current account—and how Switzerland's fiscal discipline kept the franc strong.
Japan's government nominated two pro-easing "reflationist" academics to the BOJ policy board, reflecting PM Takaichi's dovish stance. The move sent rate hike expectations tumbling and the Nikkei to an all-time high of ¥58,583 (+2.20%). We analyze the yen impact, bond market reaction, and how this compares to the Fed and ECB's approach to central bank independence.
Europe's largest asset manager Amundi has shifted to overweight on Japanese government bonds for the first time in 30 years. Foreign investors bought a net ¥6.04 trillion ($40 billion) in JGBs in January 2026, the second-largest monthly figure on record. We analyze how BOJ rate hikes, political stability, and diversification from US assets are driving global money into Japan's bond market.
Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi reportedly pushed back against BOJ Governor Ueda's rate hike plans, sending the yen tumbling to 156 per dollar. This clash between political power and central bank independence echoes Trump vs. the Fed and Erdogan vs. Turkey's central bank. We analyze the implications for global markets, the US-Japan interest rate gap, and carry trades.
Japan's shadow banking sector is sending warning signals. With nonbank financial risks growing, real estate lending surpassing $730 billion, and credit risks shifting under BOJ rate hikes, we analyze the parallels with China's shadow banking crisis and US commercial real estate risks, plus how Japan's regulators are responding.
The Bank of Japan has officially begun selling its massive ETF holdings worth ¥37 trillion ($240B) at book value. With annual sales of just ¥330 billion, this unprecedented unwinding could take over 112 years. Here's what it means for global markets and Japan's financial future.
The Bank of Japan held its policy rate at 0.75% at the January 22-23, 2026 meeting, on an 8-1 vote. Despite December's hike to a 30-year high, the yen kept weakening, and the BOJ went to 1.0% in June. We look at the impact on mortgage rates, what would take the pressure off the yen, and the carry trade.
The Bank of Japan raises policy rates to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995. A comprehensive analysis of this historic monetary policy shift aimed at addressing inflation and yen depreciation, including economic impacts and future outlook.